Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion - NOAA
While neutral conditions are expected through early 2026, climate models predict a 61-62% chance of El Niño developing between May and July 2026, lasting through at least the end of the year. Cali Roda El Nino
El Niño is a natural phenomenon characterized by the warming of ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. As this warmth spreads, it alters atmospheric pressure and winds, shifting climate patterns worldwide. Key Impacts for California Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion - NOAA
Intense, heavy rain during an El Niño winter can cause mudslides and landslides, particularly in hilly areas. Key Impacts for California Intense, heavy rain during
El Niño often brings warmer temperatures to the region.
This text is for information purposes and is based on April 2026 forecasts from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). How this might impact the water supply?
Based on forecasts for mid-2026, a new El Niño event is poised to emerge, likely bringing significant shifts to California's weather patterns.