2022---arkady-babchenko-on-the-ukraine-war-and-russia-s-future Apr 2026

Exiled journalist Arkady Babchenko framed the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine as the final, desperate act of a collapsing Russian empire, predicting a long-term military failure for Moscow. He foresaw a slow 15–30 year economic and political disintegration of the Russian state, advocating for complete Ukrainian victory to end the conflict.